Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008304 0.009747 0.011473 0.013726 0.016636 0.020343 0.025546
2025-09-14 0.006219 0.007838 0.009989 0.013157 0.017897 0.025081 0.037618
2025-09-21 0.005238 0.006917 0.009309 0.013151 0.019571 0.030800 0.054717
2025-09-28 0.004723 0.006482 0.009139 0.013742 0.022269 0.039457 0.085089
2025-10-05 0.004460 0.006343 0.009352 0.014967 0.026534 0.053852 0.149647
2025-10-12 0.004128 0.006031 0.009204 0.015486 0.029625 0.068109 0.247912
2025-10-19 0.003749 0.005582 0.008734 0.015249 0.030937 0.078845 0.371305
2025-10-26 0.003484 0.005287 0.008480 0.015381 0.033223 0.095218 0.631620
2025-11-02 0.003213 0.004944 0.008084 0.015108 0.034339 0.108934 1.027823
2025-11-09 0.002910 0.004516 0.007468 0.014206 0.033308 0.112751 1.381406
2025-11-16 0.002668 0.004173 0.006977 0.013507 0.032670 0.118317 1.977307
2025-11-23 0.002545 0.004034 0.006870 0.013707 0.035028 0.143852 4.978441
2025-11-30 0.002356 0.003772 0.006517 0.013310 0.035536 0.162378 13.463115
2025-12-07 0.002173 0.003509 0.006133 0.012771 0.035399 0.178074 49.421163
2025-12-14 0.002056 0.003357 0.005963 0.012765 0.037359 0.218088 108633.621590
2025-12-21 0.001993 0.003304 0.005999 0.013333 0.042143 0.310313 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001974 0.003334 0.006219 0.014507 0.050875 0.538661 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001911 0.003269 0.006215 0.015004 0.056881 0.829748 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001813 0.003124 0.006002 0.014777 0.058655 1.060174 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001743 0.003030 0.005901 0.014903 0.062910 1.572698 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001659 0.002901 0.005701 0.014642 0.064448 2.070479 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001553 0.002718 0.005349 0.013778 0.061081 2.054534 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001463 0.002565 0.005063 0.013107 0.058859 2.154588 NaN